For the last three years, using a Rf rate of 2% divided by 12 (ok, even that is highly debated -- it's maybe closer to zero during that period, the deannualization is wrong, blah blah blah -- but I don't care because nothing really hangs off of this except ego), and my monthly return data, I come up with:
1.4
actually 1.38 but let's round so I can get the 4. I did not have the energy to compare to a slew of other alt strategies so I compared to at least: a) SPY as a market/sharpe-neutral "proxy" [1.02], b) VSCGX a Vanguard 40/60 portfolio that might be a proxy for passive portfolio [.99], c) AQMIX a managed futures MF that has some vague similarities to what I do in terms of momentum and trend following [.11], and d) QLEIX an AQR long/short liquid-alt fund that has nothing to do with me at all [1.92]. So, accretive? yeah, probably...a bit. For now.
I was motivated to estimate because I was reading E. O. Thorp's book A Man for All Markets where he described one of his statistical arbitrage strategies as having a 1.98 Sharpe ratio. The key difference here, though, other than that he is quite a bit smarter and more successful, is that his return was >18% and he sustained something like that over decades with real clients on the line where I am looking at around 6-7% sustained over a few years without really being tested by the market or by having anyone but me that cares. But, I'll take what I can get for now and 1.4 is good enough. I probably won't calculate this again because what I really want is asymmetry in risk: more up than down which Sharpe does not capture (a past post on Omega ratio gets closer).
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